3
Why it moved: +12 points at 10:56 UTC, after Times of India: US judge extends ban on tree removal at Trump's golf course after 430 cut — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 27 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 82% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump visits the Trump National Golf Club in Washington, D.C. exactly three times during October 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of visits within that month. Readers often mistake the linked court ruling for a visit or confuse the location with other Trump properties.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%