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Before Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability 28%−4
24-hour volume$72
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −4 points at 16:24 UTC, after The Hill: Judge rules James Comey's daughter unlawfully fired as federal prosecutor — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%28%25 Oct, 15:25 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now28%
26 Oct, 16:24 UTC28%
25 Oct, 15:25 UTC32%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the United States v. James Brien Comey, Jr. case is dismissed by the court with jurisdiction before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if the case remains active or is not dismissed within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a judge's ruling as the final resolution, but only an official dismissal of the entire case counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 28%
  • No 72%

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