Above 600
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the number of Carbon Arc Claude App downloads in October 2026 exceeds 600. The outcome is No if that download count is 600 or lower. Readers often mistake the deadline for the resolution date rather than the specific month of data collection.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%