ByteDance
Implied probability 1%+1
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves9 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 10:00 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if ByteDance holds the top spot among Chinese AI companies on the specified Arena AI Text Score leaderboard at the exact deadline of November 9, 2026, at 10:00 am ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about Zhang Yiming’s wealth for the resolution criteria, but the outcome depends solely on the technical ranking data from Arena AI.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%