ByteDance
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if ByteDance holds the highest rank among Chinese AI companies on the Arena AI Text Score leaderboard at 10:00 am ET on November 2, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about Zhang Yiming for the resolution criteria, but only the specific leaderboard ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%