Above $42 billion
Implied probability 67%+2
24-hour volume$400
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves18 May 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 65% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Instacart reports a gross transaction value exceeding $42 billion for fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if that specific financial metric does not surpass the threshold in that designated period. Readers often mistake the linked acquisition deal amount for the resolution criteria, but only Instacart's reported fiscal 2026 gross transaction value matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%