Before 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 27 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after the market's issuance date and before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if this specific agreement does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year 2028 instead of January 1, 2029.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 83%