At least 60%
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves19 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 95% |
| 19 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 96% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Remain option receives at least 60% of valid votes in Elections Alberta's first official final results for the October 19, 2026 referendum. The outcome is No if that share falls below 60%. Readers often mistake the date of the vote for the deadline to check the result; the resolution depends on the official final count released by Elections Alberta.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%