Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Canada and the European Union sign an agreement that expands rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU between now and January 1, 2027. The market resolves to No if no such agreement is concluded by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about strengthening ties as sufficient proof of a signed agreement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%