Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Implied probability 4%−4
24-hour volume$4
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce his departure after May 22, 2026. This includes quitting, being fired, or being impeached. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to any event before May 22, 2026, rather than only those occurring after.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%