Ukraine / Ukrainian
Why it moved: −21 points at 13:38 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Burnham opens door to formal apology for Britain’s slave trade — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 69% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham uses the words "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" during the next session of Prime Minister's Questions in the House of Commons. It resolves to No if he does not use those specific terms in that setting. Readers often mistake general mentions of Ukraine in other contexts for a resolution, but only explicit usage during PMQs counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%