Bayern Munich
Implied probability 19%−55
24-hour volume$2.8M
Total volume$3.3M
Liquidity$3.3M
Resolves2 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Bayern Munich wins the Bundesliga match against Dortmund within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Dortmund wins. Readers often mistakenly believe that extra time or penalty shootouts count toward the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%