Before Jan 1, 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump issues an executive order or takes another official government action that creates a formal strategic stockpile of Bitcoin before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such specific reserve is established within that timeframe. Readers often mistake general pro-crypto statements or policy announcements for the creation of an actual government-held Bitcoin reserve.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%