Mexico
Implied probability 81%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves25 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 81% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 81% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Flávio Bolsonaro finishes first in Mexico among Brazilian expatriate voters in the 2026 runoff. The result depends on the official certified vote count from that specific region. Readers often mistake this for the overall national winner or confuse the general election with the runoff.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 81%
- No 19%