Callum Turner
Implied probability 65%+27
24-hour volume$42k
Total volume$692k
Liquidity$692k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 08:52 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 23:23 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 03:35 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 19:30 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Nov, 10:57 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 10:14 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 06:22 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Nov, 04:50 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 39% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 40% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 36% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 42% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Callum Turner is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amazon's decision process for the actual confirmation of his role.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 35%