you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
Implied probability 3%+2
24-hour volume$39k
Total volume$43k
Liquidity$43k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the song reaches number two on the Billboard 200 chart during the week of October 31, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release date or current chart position for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%