Abdulraof Macacua
The market favoured Yes at 83% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 96%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved30 Oct 2027
Why it moved: +13 points at 12:54 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Former rebel leader elected chief minister of Philippine Muslim region — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 83% |
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%