Vinícius Júnior
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves10 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Vinícius Júnior finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Mourinho as the deciding factor instead of the final award ranking.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%