Above 157 million
Implied probability 53%−1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves23 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if American Express reports a total of more than 157 million cards-in-force for fiscal year 2026. The outcome depends solely on the company's official report for that specific fiscal period. Readers often mistake the current news headline about workforce cuts for the final resolution metric.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 53%
- No 47%