Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House
Implied probability 57%−1
24-hour volume$17
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 57% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins Alaska’s U.S. House seat, while Democrats win both the Governor and U.S. Senate races in the November 3, 2026 election. The result depends on the final winners after ranked-choice tabulation. Readers often mistake early polls or intermediate results for the official resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%