Democratic sweep
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$187
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Democratic candidates win the Alaska U.S. House at-large, Governor, and U.S. Senate races in the November 3, 2026 general election after ranked-choice tabulation. It resolves to No if any of these three seats goes to a non-Democratic candidate. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final certified results rather than the date of the general election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%