Amazon
Implied probability 20%+5
24-hour volume$566
Total volume$103k
Liquidity$103k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 19% |
| 18 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 14% |
| 18 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Amazon publicly releases a fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this specific type of content does not launch by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about wearable devices for the relevant event, but only the release of the scripted series counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%