Paul Kagame
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Paul Kagame leaves his role as President of Rwanda before any other listed Rwandan leader. The outcome depends on who departs first, not on political pressure or public statements. Readers often mistake this for a vote on the NBA partnership rather than a timeline of leadership changes.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 96%