Bola Tinubu
Implied probability 20%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Bola Tinubu leaves office before any other listed Nigerian leader. It resolves to No if another listed leader leaves first. Readers often mistake the announcement of a bid for leaving office as the trigger, but the rule requires actual departure from the position.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%