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Google / Alphabet

Implied probability 5%+4
24-hour volume$56
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +4 points at 06:21 UTC, after Times of India: Google sees its worst day in 20 years, but why it may not be alone — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Google / Alphabet
0%50%100%5%28 Oct, 20:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
30 Oct, 06:21 UTC5%
28 Oct, 20:04 UTC1%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Google or Alphabet publicly agrees to buy Pinterest before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such agreement occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the signing date, but only the formal agreement matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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