Above 172000
Why it moved: +81 points at 23:44 UTC, after theinformation.com: Apple Sales Cool — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 21:28 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Apple Inc. reports more than 172,000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026. The outcome is No if the company reports 172,000 or fewer employees that year. Readers often mistake the linked news story about current iPhone sales for the resolution data, but only Apple's official 2026 employee count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 90%
- No 10%