Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$1.2M
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 02:44 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 18:32 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 00:13 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a bill mandating a $250 bill with Donald Trump’s likeness becomes law before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if that specific legislation does not become law by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Medicare payments for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%