Ruben Gallego
Implied probability 48%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 25 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Ruben Gallego announces a presidential campaign for the 2028 Democratic nomination before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about midterm travel as the announcement itself.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%