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Mark Cuban

Implied probability 17%+4
24-hour volume$18
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jan 2028

Why it moved: +4 points at 07:36 UTC, after Fortune: Mark Cuban took off his watch the day he became a millionaire: ‘I wanted to be able to control my own time’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Mark Cuban
0%50%100%17%27 Oct, 06:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now17%
28 Oct, 07:36 UTC17%
27 Oct, 06:43 UTC13%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Mark Cuban announces a presidential campaign for the Democratic nomination before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his poker habits as relevant, but only an official campaign announcement counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 17%
  • No 83%

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