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The Weeknd

Implied probability 35%−1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · The Weeknd
0%50%100%35%25 Oct, 15:26 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now35%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC35%
25 Oct, 15:26 UTC36%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The Weeknd must have a song in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week ending December 26, 2026. The outcome depends on that specific Billboard issue, not on concert performances or other charts. Readers often mistake the release date of a single for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 35%
  • No 65%

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