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Josh Shapiro

Implied probability 98%+1
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$346k
Liquidity$346k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
How the odds moved · Josh Shapiro
0%50%100%98%26 Oct, 01:52 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now98%
1 Nov, 18:04 UTC98%
1 Nov, 17:56 UTC98%
1 Nov, 16:15 UTC98%
1 Nov, 15:00 UTC98%
1 Nov, 08:54 UTC98%
1 Nov, 03:04 UTC98%
1 Nov, 01:52 UTC98%
31 Oct, 22:21 UTC97%
31 Oct, 21:10 UTC98%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC97%
31 Oct, 18:48 UTC98%
31 Oct, 17:34 UTC98%
31 Oct, 16:29 UTC97%
31 Oct, 15:15 UTC97%
31 Oct, 08:07 UTC98%
31 Oct, 03:24 UTC97%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC98%
30 Oct, 21:09 UTC98%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC98%
30 Oct, 16:10 UTC98%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC98%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC98%
29 Oct, 21:34 UTC98%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC98%
29 Oct, 19:00 UTC97%
29 Oct, 10:26 UTC98%
29 Oct, 01:38 UTC98%
29 Oct, 00:20 UTC98%
28 Oct, 23:04 UTC97%
28 Oct, 18:14 UTC98%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC98%
28 Oct, 02:09 UTC97%
28 Oct, 00:53 UTC97%
27 Oct, 23:38 UTC97%
27 Oct, 21:12 UTC97%
27 Oct, 18:41 UTC97%
27 Oct, 16:15 UTC98%
27 Oct, 15:05 UTC97%
27 Oct, 03:52 UTC98%
27 Oct, 00:10 UTC97%
26 Oct, 20:32 UTC98%
26 Oct, 19:15 UTC97%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC97%
26 Oct, 10:34 UTC97%
26 Oct, 06:51 UTC97%
26 Oct, 01:52 UTC97%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated as Pennsylvania’s governor after the 2026 election. It resolves to No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but only the inauguration following the 2026 election matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 98%
  • No 2%

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