Amy Acton
Implied probability 76%+6
24-hour volume$63k
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$1.2M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 72% |
| 20 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 72% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 70% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 71% |
| 16 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 70% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 71% |
| 16 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 70% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 72% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins and takes office as Ohio's governor in the 2026 election. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins or if no Democratic candidate is inaugurated. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amy Acton's mother for the actual resolution criteria, but only the official election result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%