Doug Jones
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.3M
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$1.6M
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 21:03 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 08:54 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 06:36 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 6% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated as Alabama's governor following the 2026 election. It resolves to No in all other cases. Readers often mistake the linked news story about current term limits for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%