Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?
The market favoured No at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$132k
Total volume$137k
Liquidity$216k
Resolved22 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 46% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if FC Bayern München wins the match scheduled for September 22, 2026, and to "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, ignoring any extra time or penalties. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time as the deciding factor, but only the regular-time score counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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