Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Implied probability 84%+8
24-hour volume$15k
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 15:40 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 11:10 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 10:08 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Sept, 08:40 UTC | 85% |
| 21 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ella Langley’s video wins the Best Country category at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. It resolves to No if another video wins or if her video is not officially nominated when nominees are announced. Readers often mistake the Billboard record mentioned in the linked story for the award criteria, but only the VMA winner matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%
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