Mavericks vs. Rockets
The market favoured Rockets at 52% a day out, but Mavericks won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$166k
Total volume$166k
Liquidity$129k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 11 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 48% |
| 11 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Oct, 08:06 UTC | 48% |
| 11 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 48% |
| 11 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 46% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 47% |
| 11 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 46% |
| 11 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 47% |
| 11 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 46% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 48% |
| 10 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 49% |
What counts
The Mavericks outcome resolves if they win the NBA game scheduled for October 11 at 6:00 AM ET, while the Rockets outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score after any overtime periods. Readers often mistake the linked story about a different China Games opener as the deciding factor, but this market is based solely on the specific October 11 game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Mavericks 100%
- Rockets 0%
View this market on Polymarket →