Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?
Implied probability 13%
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 6% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a journalist representing CNN is on an airplane with Donald Trump during takeoff before October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The journalist must be actively working for CNN at that specific moment, not just previously. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but resolution depends on a consensus of credible reporting rather than official statements.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 88%
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