Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$46k
Total volume$148k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 3% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires Clavicular to be named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026. If multiple people receive the title, the one whose name comes first alphabetically wins. Readers often miss that the market resolves to Other if no announcement is made by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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