Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$802
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
Alphabet must hold the second-highest total value of outstanding shares at the closing bell on October 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company taking that rank by that specific time results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date of the linked revenue report for the resolution deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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