Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 02:09 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 08:41 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 08:13 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 01:09 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 00:34 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 13:38 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 02:03 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Democrats win if their nominee receives the most statewide votes in Texas during the 2028 Presidential Election. The outcome depends on which candidate wins the popular vote in Texas, not on electoral college results or other races. Readers often mistakenly think the linked story about midterm elections affects this market, but only the 2028 presidential election results matter.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%
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