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Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$30k
Total volume$50k
Liquidity$800k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
0%50%100%16%22 Oct, 12:14 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now16%
22 Oct, 12:14 UTC16%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official final result from the governing body determines the outcome, with backup data sources used only if that information is delayed. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on when the governing body publishes its stats, not just when the game ends.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 16%
  • No 85%

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