Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
Implied probability 70%+15
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$102k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Why it moved: +23 points at 04:47 UTC, after Deutsche Welle: US midterms: Democrats gain control of Senate from Republicans — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 21:02 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 79% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 46% |
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Outcomes
- Yes 70%
- No 30%
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