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Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved: Yes 6d ago

The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$47k
Total volume$247k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%50%100%100%22 Oct, 05:25 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC100%
26 Oct, 22:08 UTC100%
26 Oct, 21:53 UTC99%
26 Oct, 21:25 UTC99%
26 Oct, 20:56 UTC99%
26 Oct, 20:05 UTC100%
26 Oct, 19:37 UTC99%
26 Oct, 19:23 UTC99%
26 Oct, 18:57 UTC99%
26 Oct, 18:11 UTC99%
26 Oct, 17:36 UTC99%
26 Oct, 17:13 UTC99%
26 Oct, 16:51 UTC98%
26 Oct, 16:09 UTC98%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC98%
26 Oct, 15:17 UTC98%
26 Oct, 14:55 UTC99%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC98%
26 Oct, 13:55 UTC98%
26 Oct, 13:23 UTC98%
26 Oct, 12:39 UTC98%
26 Oct, 12:18 UTC98%
26 Oct, 11:56 UTC98%
26 Oct, 11:24 UTC98%
26 Oct, 10:49 UTC98%
26 Oct, 09:46 UTC98%
26 Oct, 08:02 UTC99%
26 Oct, 07:44 UTC99%
26 Oct, 07:24 UTC98%
26 Oct, 06:51 UTC99%
26 Oct, 06:27 UTC99%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC98%
26 Oct, 05:19 UTC98%
26 Oct, 04:50 UTC99%
26 Oct, 04:29 UTC99%
26 Oct, 03:57 UTC98%
26 Oct, 03:27 UTC98%
26 Oct, 02:41 UTC98%
26 Oct, 01:34 UTC98%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC98%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC97%
25 Oct, 22:37 UTC98%
25 Oct, 22:13 UTC97%
25 Oct, 21:29 UTC98%
25 Oct, 20:05 UTC97%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC97%
25 Oct, 17:17 UTC97%
25 Oct, 16:35 UTC98%
25 Oct, 16:21 UTC98%
25 Oct, 15:53 UTC98%
25 Oct, 15:25 UTC97%
25 Oct, 14:34 UTC98%
25 Oct, 12:34 UTC98%
25 Oct, 12:03 UTC98%
25 Oct, 11:56 UTC98%
25 Oct, 10:35 UTC98%
25 Oct, 10:28 UTC98%
25 Oct, 09:58 UTC98%
25 Oct, 03:16 UTC98%
25 Oct, 02:35 UTC98%
25 Oct, 02:21 UTC98%
24 Oct, 21:51 UTC98%
24 Oct, 21:19 UTC98%
24 Oct, 20:58 UTC98%
24 Oct, 19:37 UTC98%
24 Oct, 19:09 UTC98%
24 Oct, 18:50 UTC98%
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24 Oct, 16:47 UTC98%
24 Oct, 16:15 UTC98%
24 Oct, 15:55 UTC98%
24 Oct, 15:27 UTC98%
24 Oct, 14:27 UTC98%
24 Oct, 11:26 UTC98%
24 Oct, 10:51 UTC98%
24 Oct, 09:15 UTC98%
24 Oct, 08:50 UTC98%
24 Oct, 08:29 UTC98%
24 Oct, 07:17 UTC98%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC98%
24 Oct, 00:52 UTC98%
24 Oct, 00:20 UTC98%
23 Oct, 23:50 UTC98%
23 Oct, 23:03 UTC98%
23 Oct, 22:21 UTC98%
23 Oct, 21:11 UTC98%
23 Oct, 20:28 UTC98%
23 Oct, 17:53 UTC98%
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23 Oct, 16:29 UTC98%
23 Oct, 15:41 UTC98%
23 Oct, 15:13 UTC98%
23 Oct, 14:59 UTC98%
23 Oct, 14:16 UTC98%
23 Oct, 13:52 UTC98%
23 Oct, 13:19 UTC98%
23 Oct, 12:57 UTC98%
23 Oct, 11:20 UTC98%
23 Oct, 10:17 UTC98%
23 Oct, 03:41 UTC98%
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22 Oct, 22:25 UTC98%
22 Oct, 20:13 UTC98%
22 Oct, 19:58 UTC98%
22 Oct, 18:13 UTC97%
22 Oct, 15:43 UTC98%
22 Oct, 15:28 UTC98%
22 Oct, 14:17 UTC98%
22 Oct, 13:42 UTC97%
22 Oct, 13:19 UTC97%
22 Oct, 12:36 UTC97%
22 Oct, 12:29 UTC97%
22 Oct, 11:15 UTC97%
22 Oct, 10:46 UTC97%
22 Oct, 10:02 UTC98%
22 Oct, 09:26 UTC98%
22 Oct, 08:15 UTC98%
22 Oct, 06:46 UTC97%
22 Oct, 05:25 UTC97%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Harry Kane places first, second, or third in the final men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. It resolves to No if he finishes outside the top three, if the award is canceled, or if no final ranking appears by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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