Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 21%−2
24-hour volume$41
Total volume$69k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 16 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 20% |
| 16 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 20:47 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 16:43 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 15:26 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 23% |
| 14 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 80%
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