Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lee Jae-myung stops being president at any point before December 31, 2026, including via resignation, removal, or detention. An official announcement of his departure triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the linked story about the former first lady as relevant, but only Lee Jae-myung's status matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%
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