Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 39%−5
24-hour volume$125
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 12 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 39% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Sept, 21:13 UTC | 39% |
| 12 Sept, 20:52 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 35% |
Outcomes
- Yes 39%
- No 62%
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