Will France win on 2026-10-05?
Implied probability 67%+3
24-hour volume$64k
Total volume$80k
Liquidity$345k
Resolves5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 5 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 65% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if France wins the match scheduled for October 5, 2026, and No otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle or extra time as the deciding factor, but only the regular-time score counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 34%
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