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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$435k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$488k
Resolves9 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
0%50%100%0%28 Oct, 07:29 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
29 Oct, 02:35 UTC1%
28 Oct, 07:29 UTC1%

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the Federal Reserve lowers the upper bound of its target federal funds rate by 25 basis points after the December 2026 meeting. The No outcome applies if the rate remains unchanged or changes by any other amount.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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