Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Implied probability 36%
24-hour volume$26k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$256k
Resolves24 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 24 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Manchester City FC wins if they beat Aston Villa by two or more goals in regular time and stoppage. Otherwise, Aston Villa FC wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for the match start time instead of the end of play, or assume extra time counts toward the margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Manchester City FC 36%
- Aston Villa FC 65%
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