Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 24?
Why it moved: −6 points at 16:26 UTC, after Variety: Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Team Up for ‘Expectations’ Remix and Music Video — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Olivia Rodrigo’s album holds the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart dated for the week of October 24, 2026. It resolves to No if any other album ranks higher on that specific chart. Readers often mistake the publication date of the chart for the relevant timeframe, but the resolution depends strictly on the chart labeled with that specific week.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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